Andy’s Notes: Me thinks maybe the Saudis are starting to run dry on a few key fields; namely Gawar. They’ve been pumping seawater like crazy to keep the pressures/output up. Maybe their best days are behind them. They certainly aren’t cooperating with us on any other fronts, so this could be more impertinence too. I’ll probably be burned at the stake for even mentioning this, but it makes one wonder about the whole Iraq conflict to begin with. The Pentagon is certainly forward thinking. If they knew the Sauds were running dry, well.. Just saying. It’d be a wise strategic move. Also, what happened to the whole energy independence assertion? If we’re truly energy independent, then we shouldn’t be importing from anyone. Of course, maybe the definition of ‘independence’ changed too while I wasn’t looking.

The United States has begun importing Iraqi oil at a rate of 1.1 million barrels per day to replace export cuts announced by Saudi Arabia late last month, new figures compiled by Bloomberg show.

New data from the Department of Energy suggests that during the first week of June, Iraqi oil entered the U.S. at the quickest rate in the past five years – marking the first time the nation’s exports exceeded those from Saudi Arabia over the same time period.

In late May, Riyadh announced its plans to purposely reduce exports to the United States to force a reduction in the latter’s sizeable inventories, which are preventing a greater rise in global oil prices, according to Saudi Oil Minister Khalid Al-Falih.

Earlier that same month, Saudi Aramco said it would cut crude supplies to China, South Korea, and South East Asia by 1 million barrels each. The nations exports to Indian buyers in June were set to decline by just over 3 million barrels, and supplies to Japan will drop by just under 1 million barrels this month, according to a Reuters’ source.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) deal to reduce production does not set limits on the amount any member country can export to its customers. This is why Saudi cargoes to the U.S. in recent months have totaled 1.21 million barrels a day – the highest rates since 2014, the year of the oil price crash.

As the de facto leader and largest producer of OPEC, Saudi Arabia has cut its production the most of any member of the bloc. But stubbornly high fossil fuel inventories – which have been maintained worldwide, but are most readily measured in the U.S. due to open customs data – have prevented the measures from buttressing oil prices in a lasting way. Importer nations have opted to take advantage of low oil prices to stock up for the future.